What to Watch, Odds, Predictions

Jon Uddin looks into the betting odds for this weekends big fight card in Vegas with some predictions thrown in.

All betting odds from Caesars Sportsbooks.

Tyson Fury vs Deontay Wilder
WBC, RING Heavyweight Title

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Tre Berry’s breakdown of this fight can be read here

THE ODDS

Tyson Fury, the Champion, enters as a heavy favorite at -265 while Deontay Wilder comes in at +225. Fury impressed many by surviving two knockdowns and fighting his way to a draw in the first bout, then dominating Wilder on his way to a 7th round TKO in the rematch. It appears many expect Fury to handle Wilder in this third installment whether by stoppage or decision.

PREDICTION: Tyson Fury by decision

Robert Helenius vs Adam Kownacki
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

After a few covid related delays Adam Kownacki (20-1-0, 15KO) has his shot to redeem himself against Robert Helenius (30-3-0, 19KO) on the undercard to the Tyson Fury-Deontay Wilder trilogy Saturday night at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. In March of 2020 the 32 year old Brooklyn based Polish Heavyweight was the headliner in front of his fans at the Barclays Center but had his night spoiled by the 37 year old “Nordic Nightmare” who hails from Stockholm, Sweden. Helenius stopped Kownacki in the fourth round of the bout.

Kownacki has said that a combination of a newborn child causing sleepless nights, promotional obligations stemming from the hometown fight, and overconfidence that led to in ring recklessness all contributed to the loss that night. While known for his brawling style, Kownacki and trainer Keith Trimble have vowed that there will be more caution used this Saturday night as to not walk right into the counter right hand from Helenius that started his downfall.

THE ODDS

Kownacki enters as the favorite at -260 with Helenius at +190. It’s no surprise to me that even after suffering the TKO loss in their first fight, Kownacki is a heavy favorite here. Most viewed Kownacki’s “reckless” style as part of the reason that he lost that night, but more focus went on a lackluster camp that was reflected by coming into the ring in poor condition.

The other half to this equation is that while the win was a nice upset story for Helenius that night, he has never shown himself as a fighter that can beat any of the top 20 Heavyweights, let alone top 10. Long story short the belief is that he caught Kownacki on his worst night. Not his fault or problem but few believe a guy that has been stopped by Gerald Washington will pull this off again. You can put me in that camp.

Prediction: Kownacki by TKO

Frank Sanchez vs Efe Ajagba
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

A battle between two unbeaten Heavyweights ready to take the next step takes place as the co-main event of the Fury-Wilder card. Hard hitting Nigerian Efe Ajagba will take on the more technically savvy Cuban Frank Sanchez in a 10 round bout fans of the heavyweight division will have their eyes on. Ajagba, a 2016 Olympian, is known for a crushing right hand that could be the equalizer for him, as he doesn’t own the classic boxing skills and footwork Sanchez does.

In his last outing this past April, Ajagba, who is led by head trainer Kay Carmona, delivered a third round knockout on Atlanta native Brian Howard on the Joe Smith-Maxim Vlasov undercard in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Sanchez was last in action in May when led by trainer Eddy Reynoso, he stopped Nagy Aguilera in six rounds on the Canelo Alvarez-Billy Joe Saunders undercard.

THE ODDS:

Sanchez is the 2-1 favorite Saturday night at -205 while Ajagba comes in at +195. Sanchez has stated that Ajagba will be his biggest test at the pro level, and while that may be true he still holds more experience overall and is the more complete fighter with Reynoso in his ear. Ajagba has faced and been tested by some experienced fighters like Amir Monsour and Razvan Cojanu but his lack of athleticism and robotic movement may make him an easy target as he looks stuck in the mud out there.

PREDICTION: Frank Sanchez by KO

Jared Anderson vs Vladimir Tereshkin
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Big Baby is back in action on Saturday night. Not the one of PED cocktail creation, but the unbeaten 21 year old Heavyweight prospect from Toledo, Ohio. Jared “Big Baby” Anderson (9-0-0, 9KO) is perfect in his nine fights with all wins coming by way of knockout. Anderson who stands 6’4 and weighed 252 pounds in his last outing will look to continue both his win and knockout streak when he faces unbeaten Russian Vladimir Tereshkin (22-0-0, 12KO) in an eight round bout.

This will be Anderson’s third fight of the year as he beat Kinglsey Ibeh (KO 6/6) in February, and Jeremiah Karpency (KO 2/8) in March. As for Tereshkin the 6’6 southpaw will be fighting for the first time since November of 2019 when he stopped Francisco Silvens by fourth round stoppage in Kingston, Jamaica.

THE ODDS:

None available. Anderson has been rolling and the rust Tereshkin will be shaking off will be detrimental in this matchup.

PREDICTION: Jared Anderson by KO.

Robeisy Ramirez vs Orlando Gonzalez Ruiz

Two Featherweight prospects ready to take the next step up the ladder to contention will square off on the non ppv portion of Fury-Wilder 3.

Cuban two time Olympic Gold-Medalist Robeisy Ramirez (7-1-0, 4KO) will take on a fellow southpaw in unbeaten Puerto Rican Orlando Gonzalez Ruiz (17-0-0, 10KO).

THE ODDS: Robeisy Ramirez is the favorite at -600. Ruiz +375

PREDICTION: Ramirez by decision in a competitive bout.

Edgar Berlanga vs Marcelo Esteban Coceres

Brooklyn based Puerto Rican Edgar Berlanga will look to start a new knockout streak Saturday night. Previously, Berlanga had not only knocked out all 16 of his opponents, but dispatched them in the first round. That streak was broken in March by Desmond Nicholson who Berlanga beat by an eight round unanimous decision.

Now the brash power punching 24 year old will take on Marcelo Esteban Coceres, 30, of Argentina.  Coceres is 1-1 in 2021, stopping his last opponent in the second round in June. He faced former WBO champion Billy Joe Saunders in 2019 losing by 11 round knockout.

THE ODDS: Berlanga is a big time favorite here pulling in at -5000. Coceres is at +1400.

PREDICTION: Berlanga by KO

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